Tuesday, January 28, 2014

State of the Union: Prediction Follow Up

Let's take a look here and see how I did on my little wager on the State of the Union;

1. He will still refer to the economy as being in a state of recovery, despite the fact the recession ended almost 5 years ago.

"The cold, hard fact is that even in the midst of recovery, too many Americans are working more than ever just to get by – let alone get ahead. And too many still aren't working at all."

That was an easy one, to deny it would admit that he's fixed all the problems left by Bush. I mean come on, he's only had 5 years.

2. He will call for a raise in the minimum wage.... again. Referencing a living wage for a single parent household, even though a living wage for a single parent raising two kids is closer to $30/hour then the proposed $10.

"Tom Harkin and George Miller have a bill to fix that by lifting the minimum wage to $10.10. It's easy to remember -- ten-ten."

And yes, he made a reference to someone who gets paid $10.10 as not living in poverty.

3. He will propose new spending on something.

"And as we reform our defense budget, we have to keep faith with our men and women in uniform, and invest in the capabilities they need to succeed in future missions."

You don't need details on what kind of capabilities, if you oppose my initiatives, you are anti-military!

4. He will call for more availability of absentee voting, despite recent video of Democratic activists talking about the ease of using voter absentee ballots fraudulently.

"Conservative Republicans and liberal Democrats are working together to strengthen it; and the bipartisan commission I appointed last year has offered reforms so that no one has to wait more than a half hour to vote."

Arguably not a very direct reference, but his committee did stress early voting, a lot.

5. He won't mention anything about the disarming deal with Syria. (At least not from any accountable or actionable perspective)

"American diplomacy, backed by the threat of force, is why Syria’s chemical weapons are being eliminated, and we will continue to work with the international community to usher in the future the Syrian people deserve,"

It was a fleeting nod that defiantly does not meet the criteria of something tangible or any call to action or anything resembling an actual update on the situation considering Syria was supposed to begin disarming "Totally and immediately". Any honest review of this deal makes it obvious it's not going well. 

6. He will propose new spending on something else.

"And if Congress wants to help, you can concentrate funding on proven programs that connect more ready-to-work Americans with ready-to-be-filled jobs."

Ready-to-be-filled? Filled in with that shovel over there perhaps? <snark>

7. He will make some snide reference to the bickering and gridlock in Washington being partly to blame for the Affordable Care Act Obamacare Affordable Care Act roll out failures.

"But let’s not have another forty-something votes to repeal a law that’s already helping millions of Americans like Amanda. The first forty were plenty. We got it."

That got a pretty hearty laugh for a response.

8. He will brag about deficit reduction.

"Our deficits – cut by more than half.And for the first time in over a decade,"

Even a half sized Obama deficit is larger then any other President's deficit since World War II.

9. He will propose new spending on something, that will not add one dollar/dime/cent to the deficit.

"We’ve got a down payment to start connecting more than 15,000 schools and twenty million students over the next two years, without adding a dime to the deficit."

You may have me that this was proposed last year, but considering the extreme lack of any new initiatives in this State of the Union, I think you have to give me this one.

And Lastly;

10. He will say "The state of the union is getting stronger."

"Tonight, this chamber speaks with one voice to the people we represent: it is you, our citizens, who make the state of our union strong."

Ok, this one was a nice little trick. The President dodged answering the question of how the state of the Union actually is, and instead focused specifically on positive elements that hold the key to make this country strong. 

If I'm grading my own paper, I'd give myself a 9/10. To bad, I'm pretty sure the minimum donation on a tax form is $2 <snark snark>.

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